Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-3
Portuguesa vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
RBB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 2
PAL
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
ITU
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
3 - 0
JEC
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |