Portuguesa vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
YPI
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 2
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +2 |