Portuguesa vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
ATP
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
VAS
4 - 0
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COT
0 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
3 - 1
GAM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
VAS
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |