Portuguesa vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 2
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 0
POR
34%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
COT
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |