Portuguesa vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 0
POR
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIL
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |