Portuguesa vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
MIR
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 4
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |