Portuguesa vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
POR
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
BAH
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |