Portuguesa vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
IFC
4 - 1
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
POR
3 - 2
NAU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
COT
4 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2008 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
30%
28%
43%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
FLA
3 - 1
VAS
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
FLA
3 - 0
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |