Portuguesa vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
CRZ
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
FFL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 0
FFL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 1
SCI
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 2
FFL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |