Portuguesa vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 0
POR
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |