Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Portuguesa vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
OES
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
JUV
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
DES
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
XVD
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 1
DES
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 4
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
PRI
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |