Portuguesa vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 3
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 1
CRZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 3
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |