Portuguesa vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SCI
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
POR
68%
19%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
SCI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
COT
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
COT
3 - 2
GRE
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COT
4 - 0
CRZ
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |