Portuguesa vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
2 - 1
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
AMF
0 - 0
POR
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
POR
0 - 1
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
POR
1 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 0
VAS
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
COT
3 - 2
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 1
COT
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |