Portuguesa vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |