Portuguesa vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
POR
18%
23%
58%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
RIO
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
JUV
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |