Portuguesa vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
POR
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ITU
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
RBB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
30%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SCI
3 - 1
BRA
85%
12%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
SCI
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
LAJ
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ECA
0 - 2
BRA
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |