Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 1
POR
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
3 - 2
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
GAM
0 - 1
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |