Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
VOT
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 3
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
ATI
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 4
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
BSP
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
VOT
20%
21%
58%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |