Portuguesa vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
FLU
0 - 0
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
POR
1 - 3
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FLA
0 - 2
POR
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
POR
5 - 4
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 3
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |