Portuguesa vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
BRA
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CEA
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AMF
0 - 2
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
ICA
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
BOA
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |