Portuguesa vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
FLU
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
COR
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
0 - 0
ATP
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |