Portuguesa vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
SCI
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 0
POR
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
PAL
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VAS
3 - 1
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
POR
5 - 5
FFL
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ATP
5 - 0
GOI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATP
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
IFC
0 - 1
ATP
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |