Portuguesa vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
POR
1 - 1
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
NAU
0 - 2
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
BAH
0 - 1
POR
51%
27%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
INT
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
POR
3 - 2
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ATP
2 - 1
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
ATP
2 - 2
INT
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
COM
0 - 0
ATP
46%
29%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
ATP
2 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ATP
61%
24%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |