Portuguesa vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
30%
28%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
POT
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
GLO
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |