Portuguesa vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 3
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
AMF
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |