Portuguesa vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
POR
4 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
0 - 5
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
XVD
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
XVD
3 - 2
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
RBB
0 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GSP
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
AGU
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIR
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 0
AGU
75%
16%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |