VfL Benrath vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
49.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 3
VFL
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 0
VJG
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
VFL
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 2
KAL
31%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DUS
3 - 2
VFL
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 2
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VOH
4 - 2
NIE
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 2
VSA
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 2
RAT
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 1
NIE
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |