VfL Benrath vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
4 - 1
WUL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 1
SFB
9%
14%
76%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 1
SSV
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SSN
2 - 2
VFL
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 4
SFB
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
FCR
2 - 1
NIE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 0
SSV
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 2
DAK
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DUS
1 - 1
NIE
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -2 |