VfL Benrath vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VSA
5 - 1
VFL
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VFL
3 - 2
TSM
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VJG
2 - 4
VFL
82%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VFL
1 - 1
MSV
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
4 - 2
VFL
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
KAP
1 - 0
MSV
58%
20%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
5 - 1
KAP
51%
20%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
KAP
1 - 0
ASS
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RAT
2 - 1
KAP
46%
21%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
KAP
0 - 7
NET
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -2 |