Varginha vs North Esporte Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2957%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
URT
1 - 1
VEC
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VEC
0 - 0
CAL
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
VEC
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VEC
1 - 1
URT
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
VEC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
North Esporte Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
NEC
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
URT
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
URT
2 - 0
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 1
BOA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
VEC
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |