Varginha vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
VEC
1 - 0
NEC
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
URT
1 - 1
VEC
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VEC
0 - 0
CAL
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
VEC
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VEC
1 - 1
URT
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
NEC
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MAM
1 - 2
BOA
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 2
MAM
41%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 1
BOA
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |