Tolentino vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UST
3 - 3
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
UST
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 1
UST
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SSS
2 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SSS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAS
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SSS
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SSS
3 - 2
MAT
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |