Tolentino vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UST
0 - 0
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 1
UST
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UST
1 - 1
GIU
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 4
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
VAS
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 0
MON
64%
19%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |