Tolentino vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 0
UST
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UST
1 - 1
SFF
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
UST
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
GIU
1 - 2
UST
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UST
2 - 0
CHI
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JES
0 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
JES
2 - 3
VAS
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
REC
3 - 2
JES
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
JES
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
JES
1 - 2
CAM
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |