Tolentino vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 2
UST
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
UST
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UST
3 - 0
SFF
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NER
2 - 2
UST
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAN
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 2
SSS
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 0
FAN
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |