Tolentino vs Aurora Alto Casertano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REC
0 - 4
UST
69%
16%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
FAN
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UST
3 - 2
VAS
53%
21%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CYN
1 - 1
UST
68%
18%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 0
MON
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
AAC
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |