Tolentino vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
UST
3 - 1
CAN
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
JES
1 - 1
UST
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UST
1 - 1
CAM
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFF
0 - 1
UST
67%
17%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UST
2 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
USF
3 - 1
VAS
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
PIN
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAS
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 2
JES
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 5
VAS
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |