Tolentino vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
UST
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
UST
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
UST
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
NER
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASD
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |