Tolentino vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
18º
18º
48
5º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FAN
2 - 0
UST
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UST
1 - 1
TER
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 0
UST
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
RCF
1 - 1
UST
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UST
0 - 1
POR
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 1
PIN
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TNF
0 - 1
MAT
35%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CYN
1 - 0
MAT
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |