Tolentino vs Castelnuovo Vomano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
UST
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
UST
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
UST
3 - 4
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
REC
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
VAS
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CYN
2 - 2
CAS
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |