UES vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
UES
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
UES
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
UES
0 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
UES
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UES
1 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALI
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |