Talant vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 1
TAL
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
TAL
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 2
ALG
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 0
TAL
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 1
TAL
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DBI
2 - 0
FTS
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FTS
0 - 2
FKA
21%
23%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 1
FTS
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
FTS
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
FTS
0 - 5
FKA
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |