Senador Guiomard vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senador Guiomard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
SEG
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 4
IND
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SEG
4 - 1
NAU
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 1
RIO
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
SEG
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
IND
50%
22%
27%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
TUN
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 0
RIO
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
ASA
16%
24%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |