Spēks vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
87.4%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
6.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9%
1-5
4.8%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
2.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
9.7%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.4%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spēks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UPE
2 - 4
SPE
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 2
SPE
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | +2 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 2
SMI
53%
21%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FKJ
0 - 2
GRO
10%
14%
76%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
ASC
68%
18%
15%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
3 - 0
ALB
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LDZ
1 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |