Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Real Club Victoria vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Club Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
SDC
2 - 0
RCV
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 0
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
RCV
2 - 2
ATM
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RCV
1 - 3
ESP
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 84 | 67 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ESP
5 - 1
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 84 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
SDC
2 - 0
RCV
86%
9%
5%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
SEV
5 - 0
SDC
80%
12%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
SDC
3 - 3
SEV
33%
23%
44%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |