Oeirense vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+217%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
AAO
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AAO
0 - 4
ALT
7%
14%
80%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AAO
2 - 3
FPI
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
AAO
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
AAO
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
5 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COR
2 - 3
4DE
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |