Moncada vs Mare Nostrum Puerto Sagunto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
SAG
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PUZ
0 - 5
MON
6%
12%
81%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MLN
1 - 4
MON
17%
17%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TAV
65%
17%
17%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 7
MON
17%
18%
66%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mare Nostrum Puerto Sagunto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MLN
3 - 4
SAG
24%
21%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAG
5 - 2
TAV
60%
19%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GIL
3 - 2
SAG
24%
21%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 4
ADP
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
SAG
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |