Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 5-2
Manauara vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manauara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
0 - 0
MEC
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
MEC
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
MEC
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
0 - 0
MEC
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 1
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 1
FPI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
TOC
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |