Kadaga vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
2.9%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
88.2%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.1%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
2.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9.9%
0-6
3.9%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.5%
0-7
2%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kadaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 1
PRE
7%
11%
82%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
SMI
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SMI
5 - 0
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DRS
4 - 0
SMI
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SMI
1 - 1
SUP
35%
22%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LDZ
6 - 2
SMI
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |